DURBAN
(Dow Jones)--Despite a welcome rise in prices, fears of increasing world
sugar stocks, growing competition from artificial sweeteners and the
continuation of politically-motivated trade agreements are serious
concerns for sugar producers.
The
world's largest growers are relieved that sugar prices have recovered but
delegates at the seventh World Sugar Farmers' Conference in Durban, South
Africa, identified a range of challenges the industry will have to
address.
Drought
in Brazil, the world's largest producer, is a major reason for the
recovery in world prices to above 10 cents a pound from last year's
all-timer low of less than four cents a pound, but many see this as
temporary.
Tony
Hannah, chief economist of the International Sugar Organization, said
prices will probably retreat to between eight and nine cents a
pound.
Peter
Baron, chief executive of the International Sugar Organization, warned the
150-strong gathering that globalization and privatization threaten to
alter irrevocably the make-up of the global sugar industry.
His
remarks were extended by Gerard Doornbos, president of the International
Federation of Agricultural Producers who urged sugar beet and cane farmers
to become more unified and efficient or continue to be victims of vicious
price cycles.
Brazilian
delegates encouraged producers to focus on producing alternative energy
sources. Currently, 55% of Brazil's cane production is going towards
producing the fuel additive ethanol, and is now a priority. Brazil wants
to see ethanol, used to reduce exhaust emissions, become a more important
globally traded commodity.
Other
sugar producing countries must diversify into making alternative fuel and
energy sources that are renewable and environmentally friendly, said Luis
Carvalho, the head of a UNICA, a major Brazilian agricultural body.
"Otherwise
they will constantly remain hostage to our ability to produce sugar
cheaply and in vast quantities," he said.
While
its sugar cane production is expected to slump to 255 million tons in
1999-2000, from 305 million tons in 1998-1999, it could easily bounce back
in 2000-2001.
E.U.
delegates also joined the call for a sharp increase in ethanol production
to satisfy ever-tightening emission controls.
Australia
is pushing, via its leadership of the Global Alliance for Sugar Reform and
Liberalization, for a better deal for producers that do not qualify for
preferential price treatment by the European Union and the U.S.
The
country has threatened to quit the World Association of Beet and Cane
Growers.
A
U.S. delegate warned of worsening relations between Mexico and the U.S.
over Mexico's insistence that it be allowed to export its entire sugar
surplus to its northern neighbor.
Mauritius
emphasized the need for remote island nations to be granted special status
where substitute industries for sugar cannot be established, while
Swaziland insisted that sugar is a political commodity.
-By Angus Macmillan, Dow Jones Newswires;
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